The summer monsoon season is here with scattered showers and  thunderstorms across eastern Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado and parts of  Utah. The moisture is a great thing, but it also increases the threat of  wildfires.  
Lightning caused wildfires are natural and necessary. As a weather  forecaster, however, it plays havoc with predicting afternoon high  temperatures. The smoke blots out the sun (or at least dims the sun) and  can lop a solid 5 degrees off of what the temperature could reach under  clear to partly cloudy skies. 
There's a semi-interesting looking tropical wave along 68W between  20-25N this morning but it is very disorganized. The next interesting  one is along 30W between 15-30N.  The computer models don't even hint at  a low pressure center in the central Atlantic until the first week of  August.  It the central Atlantic doesn't get active in August, this  could be a hug bust of a hurricane season.
The Great Lakes and Upper Mississippi Valley, which has been pounded by  severe weather this summer, will start to get a break from at least the  big severe thunderstorms - although rainy weather will likely continue -  as the jet stream weakens a lot in the next few days.
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